That baseball took so long to institute a means of punishing and (hopefully) preventing PED usage was a product of a complete institutional failure. He peaked at 23.7% in 2010, just before his PED admission, then lost support in each ensuing round of voting until last year, when he rebounded from a low of 10% to 12.3%. Some voters have adopted a zero-tolerance policy when it comes to PED-associated candidates, refusing to vote for players upon even the whiff of suspicion; actual evidence isn't even necessary. His peak score is much closer at 0.6 wins below the standard spread out over seven seasons—less than one run a year, a negligible amount given the assumptions built into such valuation systems (such as the choice for how many years to incorporate into a park factor). Details of McGwire's chemical regimen dating as far back as 1989—involving Winstrol and other steroids well beyond andro—turned up that spring via reports pertaining to an early 1990s FBI investigation called Operation Equine. Before 2005, baseball was a mess for the way it battled the encroachment of PEDs in the game. Instead, we should acknowledge that PEDs were part of the way the game was played for a long, long period of time, before the industry wised up. But there are holes in his game when you consider the full spectrum of value. As well, he was often injured, particularly during the latter two-thirds of his career. Three players with 11-15 years will remain eligible: Don Mattingly (15th year in 2015), Alan Trammell (14th) and Lee Smith (13th).

11:21 am ET, the established Cooperstown standards for first basemen. PED allegations continued to dog McGwire long after his career ended. And while a simple hits total doesn’t begin to tell the story of McGwire as a producer, his career tally of 1,626 hits is plainly low by Hall of Fame standards. © 2004-2020 CBS Interactive. Finally somewhat healthy in 1996, he began one of the greatest sustained power runs since Ruth, bashing an AL-best 52 home runs in just 130 games and slugging a league-high .730. Though he placed in the league's top three in homers for five of his first six years, McGwire's batting averages continued to decline. In his 10 years on the ballot, he never received even 25% of the vote, a third of what he would need for election.

I viewed the latter as outweighing the former in the context of an overstuffed BBWAA ballot, where supporting him may have been at the expense of the Hall-worthy likes of Edgar Martinez, Tim Raines, or Larry Walker (to name a few JAWS-approved candidates). In 16 years with the Oakland A’s and St. Louis Cardinals, Mark McGwire was a 12-time MLB All-Star, the 1987 American League Rookie of the Year, a five-time home run leader, a three-time Silver Slugger Award winner, and … Additionally, he’s  the only hitter ever to hit 65 or more homers in two different seasons. That’s probably why Jay Jaffe’s JAWS system pegs McGwire as being just a bit shy of the established Cooperstown standards for first basemen. McGwire is one of 10 finalists on this year’s Today’s Game Era ballot that will be considered by the committee on managers, umpires, executives and long-retired players at the National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum.

Across parts of 16 big-league seasons, McGwire tallied 583 home runs (10th on the all-time list); 1,414 RBI (41st all-time); and 841 extra-base hits (95th all-time).

Less than a week after Wilstein's article ran, The New York Times ran an editorial expressing concern over "uncertainties about androstenedione's impact on the body" and any view of McGwire's potential record as tainted: [S]ome have even suggested, not entirely in jest, that if McGwire beats the record he should have an asterisk next to his name denoting that he did so under questionable circumstances. While those who impugn McGwire as a one-dimensional candidate are being overly reductive in their estimations of him, they do have a point on a broader level.

You're no doubt aware that there's more to McGwire's story than just the numbers. That said, McGwire’s JAWS score doesn’t explain how his BBWAA ballot percentages have tracked in his nine years of eligibility ... As you can see, McGwire has never come close to the 75 percent mark needed for election, and he's also very much trending in the wrong direction.

Within that range are many nuanced positions, all of which have in common an iron-clad guarantee that someone, somewhere disagrees with them. The startling thing is that the range of increase in home runs per batted ball that could result from a 10% gain in muscle mass is on the order of what actually occurred throughout the entire majors from 1993 onward. We could completely revisit the steroids era if Mark McGwire is included on the Today's Game ballot.

La Russa tried to get the AP banned from the Cardinals’ clubhouse for invading his players' privacy. Under another change announced Saturday, eligible voters will be required to complete a registration form and sign a code of conduct, and their names will be made public, but not their individual votes. The following article is part of my ongoing look at the candidates on the 2017 Today’s Game Era Hall of Fame ballot, which will be voted upon by a 16-member committee of writers, executives and Hall of Fame players on Dec. 4 at the Winter Meetings in National Harbor, Md., with the results to be announced that night at 6 p.m. Due to injuries, the 1994–95 strike and his retirement after his age-37 season, McGwire's 16-year career featured just 10 seasons of at least 130 games played.

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