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Structural change in the relationship between presidential popularity and inflation and unemployment: The Nixon and Ford presidencies, Department of Economics Working Paper Series Forecasting and Analyzing Economic Activity with Coincident and Leading Indexes: The Case of Connecticut, Forecasting and Analyzing Economic Activity with Coincident and Leading Indexes: The Case of Connecticut, Forecasting US Home Sales Using BVAR Models and Survey Data on Households' Buying Attitudes for Homes, Long-run equilibrium between budget deficits and long-term interest rates, Reading the Tea Leaves: CT Employment Indicators, Long-run equilibrium between budget deficits and long-term interest rate: An empirical note, Forecaster Diversity and the Benefits of Combining Forecasts, Public Perceptions of Macroeconomic Policy during the Bush Presidency, The Pain of Unemployment: Old and New Measures Compared. Procedure and Terminology This paper tests the hypothesis that agents forming expectations of interest rates will incorporate information pertaining to forecasts of the budget deficit if they believe that a relationship exists between current budget deficits and interest rates. This paper discusses the evolution of macroeconomic modelling. Velocity instability in the USA: A monetary or real phenomenon? By carrying out Pedroni cointegration... Exchange rate fluctuations affect the value of international investment portfolios, competitiveness of exports and imports, value of international reserves, currency value of debt payments, and the cost to tourists in terms of the value of their currency.

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Forecasting Connecticut Home Sales in a BVAR Framework Using Coincident and Leading Indexes. Professor Tendulkar served on numerous panels and commissions set up to reform diverse aspects of India’s economy. This paper evaluates the real-time performance of the growth rate of the DSE-ECRI Indian leading index for exports for predicting cyclical downturns and upturns in the growth rate of Indian exports. The best performing model incor... A quadratic presidential popularity function for the Nixon and Ford presidencies is estimated. According to rules, the senior most faculty gets promoted to Director’s post. Over time, other disciplinary departments have been added to DSE, which now comprises the Departments of Economics, Geography and Sociology. The Director being incharge of the premises, is responsible for timely payment of salary to contractual staff like sweepers and janitors and the delay in his appointment has resulted in these contractual staff not getting paid for the last four months. (Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi)Field(s): Environmental and Resource Economics, Applied Econometrics, Efficiency and Productivity Analysis, Maiti, DibyenduAssociate ProfessorPh.D (Vidyasagar University)Field(s): International Economics and Development Macroeconomics, Meenakshi, J.VProfessorPh.D. Hostel Review by Shikhar Bajaj: There are several Postgraduate hostel facilities u.. This paper examines the determinants of consumers' buying attitudes for houses from January 1984 through June 2005. Recent studies argue that the spread-adjusted Taylor rule (STR), which includes a response to the credit spread, replicates monetary policy in the United State. This paper investigates contagion across stock and currency markets of China, Eurozone, India, Japan and US during global financial crisis and Eurozone crisis. The benchmark Bayesian model includes home sales, price of homes, mortgage rate, real personal disposable income, and unemployment rate. Timely forecast of interest rates can therefore provide valuable information to financial market participants and policymakers. Recruitment Brochure, See what recruiters say about our institution and students' Budget will show how much BJP cares for Delhi: Kejriwal, Four North East state capitals to be in rail network: President, DU likely to announce first cut-off on October 10; applicants asked not to visit colleges, HC to hear DU professors’ plea on non-payment of salaries on Sep 24, Tell all college principals to expedite results, HC tells DU, Delhi HC slaps 5000 cost on Delhi University in supplementary exams plea case, DU students ‘not thoroughly prepared’ for open book exams: High Court, Online Open Book Exam to begin from August 17, DU tells HC. We then estimate the rate of inflation that politicians will choose to impose on the US economy given the natural rate of unemployment. Pami DUA, Director, Delhi School of Economics; Dean Research (H&SS), University of Delhi of University of Delhi, Delhi (DU) | Read 108 publications | Contact Pami DUA

This paper presents a method for predicting cyclical downturns and upturns in Indian exports using the 36 country real effective exchange rate and leading indices of major trading partners. Macroeconomic theory gives us the equilibrium rate of unemployment, commonly known as the natural rate of unemployment. Check details, Airlines May Soon Be Permitted To Operate 75% Of Pre-Covid Domestic Flights: Aviation Minister, Kalrock consortium not declared successful applicant: Jet Airways, 120 applications from 15 firms for pvt train ops: Railways. The only time-varying effect included in these studies is an intercept dummy.

Department of Economics He was 47, and is survived by his wife and a son. This paper examines various measures of synchronization of recessions, including clustering of the onset of recession across economies, proportion of economies in expansion and the diffusion index of international coincident indexes, and shows that the recent global recession was possibly the most concerted in the post world war period. The tremors were also felt in some parts of neighbouring Assam and Tripura. The Department of Economics is considered to be one of the country's premier academic institutions and is acknowledged as a centre for excellence in post-graduate teaching and research.

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